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Mechanistic Model for Decision Making

46 bytes added, 02:54, 25 February 2016
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'''Mental Objects Network''': The options are implementation of theories the brain holds about the world. These theories are connected with each other and describe how the world works and what we can do to change our surrounding. We use these theories to change the surrounding so our needs will be fulfilled. The network of theories is built from mental objects representing of the world, and therefore will be called Mental Objects Network ([[MON]]). For further explanation, see [[epistemology]].
'''[[Outcomes]]''': For every ‘’option’’ ‘’[[options|option]]’’ there are outcomes. Some of the outcomes may fulfill the ‘’need’’‘’[[need]]’’, and some may have side effects.
'''[[Value]]''': The outcomes have an effect on our physical or emotional resources. They carry a value. The value may be rewarding, neutral or taxing. The Magnitude of the value can also vary from none to fatal in taxing value or from none to overwhelming good, in positive values.
'''[[Probability of success]]''': Every [[options have |option]] has some chances to succeed. Every option is constructed from cascade of events, and every event has some probability to happen. It may depend on the known probabilities of event to happen (for instance we may assume that our chances of winning the lottery has a probability of 1 to a million), or the level of corroboration (the amount of times we tested the theory). The more we corroborated the theory we may have more confidence we can predict her chance to occur (from epistemological perspective we do not have any way to predict the future, bet let’s leave this for now). Consequently, when an option has many steps (events that should occur in order for her to succeed), or/and when the events are not well tested, the probability of success fall.
'''[[Resources]]''': For every action, which is based on the option we selected, there is a tax on our resources. Before we evaluate an options, we should also consider how much resources do we have, and if we have the specific resources needed for the [[options|option]].
'''[[Evaluation]]''': When we have to choose from a set of options, we should evaluate every option total outcomes values, the resource it demands, and the probability of success.
'''[[Selection]]''': We should compere the total value of every [[options ]] and choose the best value. Yet for many reasons we will discusses later, we may not evaluate at all, or choose the option we are more familiar with, even if there are better [[options]]
'''Conjecture, Falsification & Corroboration''': Theories are built and change throughout our entire life. We [[learn]] from others, or we conjecture about how things works. We may then test the theories, and see if they are false or corroborate (see Karl popper on terminology<ref>Popper, K. (2002). The Logic of Scientific Discovery (Routledge Classics). Routledge. </ref>).